Chicago Bulls (@2.15) vs Atlanta Hawks (@1.72)
07-11-2019

Our Prediction:

Atlanta Hawks will win

Chicago Bulls – Atlanta Hawks Match Prediction | 07-11-2019 19:40

The Bulls are 8th in turnovers per game with 14.4. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 15th in the NBA. They are 27th in the league in rebounding with 41.7 boards per game and 27th in assists per contest with 21.6. The Bulls surrender 111.1 points per contest, which ranks them 17th in the NBA. They rank 20th with 24.7 assists allowed per contest, and 27th with 47.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bulls are 14th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.6 per game. They are 26th in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is -10.0. Chicago is 29th in the league with 101.1 points per game this year. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 21st and 16th in those defensive statistics.

I trust the Hawks a lot more than the Bulls up to this point. I'll lay the reasonable chalk with the home team. It's bad.The Atlanta Hawks have been better than expected up to this point and are playing with some pep in their step after back-to-back victories. The Chicago Bulls have arguably been the worst team through the first two weeks of the season, as they're not playing a lick of defense and the effort can be questioned as well. I want no part of the Bulls right now. The Bulls just allowed 135 points on 57 percent shooting to the Charlotte Hornets.

Betting Odds

PF Carmelo Anthony will soon be joining the Bulls roster. Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls. Predicted to win this match is the Bulls at a score of 112-109. Bulls Center Wendell Carter Jr. is not available for this match with a thumb injury. Atlanta is 28th in the League in offense rating while the Bulls fall at 30th in the same category. The NBA pick for this game is Chicago Bulls -2. The Bulls is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 matches against teams from the SouthEast Division.

However, given the motivation factor that will also come with the Hawks looking to avenge the four-overtime loss, the Hawks will focus their approach to utilize these two advantages to atone for what happened in the ATL on Friday. Despite what transpired on Friday, Atlanta still owns a considerable edge in offensive production as they procure 112.1 points per game (15th in the NBA) which is 7.3 points greater than Chicagos 28th-ranked scoring offense which produces just 104.8 points per game. Moreover, Atlantas bench also produces 8.9 more points per game compared to Chicagos bench. These two narratives justify a play on Atlanta standing alone.

Chicago did emerge victorious on Monday, beating a wretched Cleveland team on the road, but the Bulls lost ten consecutive games prior to that face-off and they occupy a permanent place in the leagues bottom tier. While this trip isnt necessarily littered with incredibly difficult opponents in an overall sense, Atlantas best chance at victory might be in the opener, as the Bulls have struggled violently in the recent past.

Atlanta Hawks VS Chicago Bulls

The Hawks surrender 104.4 points per contest, which ranks them 8th in the NBA. They are 21st in the league in rebounding with 44.4 boards per game and 13th in assists per contest with 24.0. The Hawks are 22nd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 17.6 per game. They rank 6th with 21.0 assists allowed per contest, and 10th with 44.8 rebounds surrendered per game. They shoot 29% from 3-point range, which is good for 28th in the NBA. Atlanta is 26th in the league with 103.4 points per game this year. They are 16th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -1.0. The Hawks are 9th in turnovers per game with 17.6. Their defense allows a 42% shooting percentage and a 30% average from 3-point range, ranking them 7th and 4th in those defensive statistics.

That is the huge question mark surrounding this team. Hard-fought wins are known to take more out of a group than perhaps a bitter loss on many occasions as they can be exhausting, to say the least. Unfortunately for Chicago, they are tasked with facing the very team that they likely expended all their energy to beat in their follow-up. Given the highlighted motivation that Atlanta may harbor to redeem themselves against the Bulls, Chicago is a team worth fading here even if they own the most recent win. Did Chicago throw everything it had at Atlanta to get the win on Friday?

TheHawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference,5-2 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games and5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. TheBulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games,1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest and2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. TheBulls are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta, the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the favorite is 42-19 ATS in the last 61 meetings.

The Hawks are 24th in the league in defensive rating with 103.8, and their offensive rating of 102.9 is ranked 12th. As a unit they are 20th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 16th in the NBA. Atlanta is 8th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 48%, which is 26th in the NBA. They are 25th in the NBA in pace with 100.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 16th.

The Hawks are averaging with 45.3 rebounds, 25.4 assists, 5.2 blocks, and 8.1 steals per encounter. The team is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 matches at the State Farm Arena and 1-4 ATS in its last 5 encounters with the Bulls. Atlanta is 12th in the East with a 21-41 win/loss finish and now ranks 26th in the League. Atlanta is rebuilding its team with 111.3 ppg at 45.2% from the field but allows foes to score up to 118.3 ppg. PF John Collins is the new scoring leader with 19.5 ppg, 56.9% in FG shooting, and 76.9% from the charity stripe.

Opponents average 46.3 rebounds a game which ranks 25th, and they give up 25.2 assists per contest which puts them in 22nd place in the league. They force 13.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 12th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -7.9 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 19th. Chicago averages 103.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 28th in the NBA. In the turnover department they rank 10th with 14.5 per game. The Bulls allow 111.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 17th in the league. They average 42.2 rebounds per game and 22.1 assists per contest, which ranks them 26th and 27th in those offensive categories. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 21st and 19th in those defensive categories. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 12th in the league.

Over/Under: 230.5

The Hawks are averaging with 45.6 rebounds, 25.5 assists, 5.3 blocks, and 8.5 steals per ball game. Leading the Hawks in scoring is PG Trae Young with 16.1 ppg, 40.1% in FG shooting, and 80.0% from the charity stripe. The team is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 matches against teams from the Central Division and 4 out of 5 matches went over the totals against teams from the same area. Atlanta is picking up with 109.7 ppg at 45.0% from the field but allows rivals to pile in with 117.8 ppg. The Atlanta Hawks are 12th among teams from the West with a 14-32 win/loss card and ranks 26th in the League.

In short, the Hawks have been operating at a (much) higher level than their opponent over the past month-plus and, even if the point spread doesnt necessarily reflect the expectation of a victory, it would be unfortunate for Atlanta to begin this seven-game slog with a loss in Chicago. Even if Huerter is unavailable, however, this is a strong opportunity for a road win, as the Bulls sport the NBAs worst offense to go along with a bottom-tier defense.

The Atlanta Haws are scoring 103.4 points per game while allowing 104.4 points per game. Although the Hawks will be without Collins, I still have to go with Atlanta in this game. I believe there will be a ton of offense as both teams are capable of scoring points, but the Atlanta defense is just better overall. Hawks win 115-110 and cover the spread. Bulls have scored 105 points per game while giving up 110.3 points per game.