Purdue (@1.22) vs Nevada (@4.5)

Our Prediction:

Purdue will win

Purdue – Nevada Match Prediction | 26-08-2019 21:30

Purdues most recent outing was a 63-14 thrashing at the hands of Auburn in the Music City Bowl, a game in which the Boilermakers gave up 56 points by halftime and yielded 586 yards overall. Clearly, no defensive help will be turned away in West Lafayette. After that, the Boilermakers will be looking for improvement across the board after giving up a horrifying 452 yards per game last season, 113th in the final national rankings.

Ill trust the Boilermakers to cover. Im always a little nervous to have a mid-level power-5 team play as a road favorite against a solid mid-major program. But I honestly believe that Purdue is capable of taking that next step, and that means taking care of business against a good Nevada team. In the end, 10 points isnt that big of a spread, especially since the Wolf Pack have a few questions to answer.

I think the Wolf Pack are more than capable of hanging around here, so Ill take a shot with Nevada and the points in this one. However, theres word that Elijah Sindelar could miss the game with knee issues, and if he cant go, Im not sure what to make of Purdue. Out of the gate I considered laying points with Purdue, thinking that the Boilermakers would take out their frustrations on Nevada after having a few months to stew on the beatdown at the hands of Auburn. Nevada has injury concerns of their own at QB, but Henry will be out to prove that Florida made a mistake by not giving him a look, and the Wolf Pack have some solid depth offensively.

More CFN

The Boilermakers averaged 18 yards per kick return and they were 32nd in the country in all-purpose yards with 6,588. They accumulated 81 punt return yards and averaged 5.7 yards per return, which was 105th in college football. Their punters totaled 2,642 yards on 62 punts, averaging 43 yards per punt. That placed them 44th in Division 1 in punting average. Purdue was ranked 100th in the nation in punt returns with 14 last year. Purdue Boilermakers kickers made 94% of their extra points, going 44 for 47 last year. Their kickers had a field goal percentage of 76%. The Purdue Boilermakers attempted 25 field goals last season and made 20, which was 14th in D-1. They returned 40 kicks for 737 yards on special teams, ranking 34th in kick return yardage.

They were 44th in Division 1 in points scored with 404. As a team they accumulated a total of 272 1st downs last season, ranking them 65th overall as an offensive unit. They ran 927 plays last year for 5,603 yards, which ranked them 23rd in the nation in total offense. The Nevada Wolf Pack were penalized on offense 77 times for 738 yards last year, which had them 64th in the country in penalties. They ran 434 times, averaging 4.6 yards per rush as a unit. The Wolf Pack ran for 1,979 yards as a team last year, which ranked 83rd in the nation. The Wolf Pack averaged 6 yards per play, which was 48th in college football.

Rondale Moore is back after far and away leading Purdues group of receivers with 114 grabs for 1,258 yards and 12 scores, while the Boilermakers also added top receiving recruits in Milton Wright and David Bell to compliment what Moore brings to the table. The Boilermakers got an invite to the Music City Bowl where Purdue was routed in a 63-14 loss to Auburn. Lorenzo Neal and freshman George Karlaftis will be responsible for getting a pass rush going while Brennan Thieneman will be in charge of a secondary that will be hoping to improve one of the worst pass defense units in the country from last season. Defensively, the Boilermakers have one of the more intimidating linebacking pairings in the Big Ten with Markus Bailey who led the team with 115 tackles and 6.5 sacks last season alongside Western Kentucky transfer Ben Holt who led the Hilltoppers in tackling last season. As a team, Purdue averaged 443.9 yards of total offense and 30.5 points per game while allowing 452.6 yards and 30 points pe game last season. The Purdue Boilermakers will look to build on a decent 2018 season that saw the Boilermakers finish with a 6-7 overall record, including a 5-4 mark in Big Ten conference play, finishing tied for 2nd in the Big Ten West division. Elijah Sindelar will hope to have a fully healthy season under center while the job is up for grabs in the Purdue backfield with the top two running backs from last year gone.

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The opponent Purdue

Purdue may have lost starting quarterback David Blough, but Elijah Sindelar should be ready to step in without skipping a beat. He has big-time arm strength, which will allow the Boilermakers to take chances down the field against a Nevada secondary that is replacing a lot of key contributors from last season. Sindelar split time with Blough two years ago and passed for over 2,000 yards, tossing 18 touchdowns to just seven interceptions.

Their punters accumulated 2,883 yards on 68 punts, averaging 42 yards per punt. That ranked them 47th in the NCAA in punting average. Wolf Pack kickers made 90% of their extra points, going 43 for 48 last season. Nevada was 70th in the country in punt returns with 17 last season. The Nevada Wolf Pack averaged 18 yards per kick return and they were 58th in the nation in all-purpose yards with 6,110. The Nevada Wolf Pack tried 21 field goals last year and made 16, which was 48th in college football. They totaled 215 punt return yards and averaged 12.6 yards per return, which was 24th in D-1. Their kickers had a field goal percentage of 71%. They returned 16 kicks for 293 yards on special teams, which put them 120th in kick return yardage.

The Boilermakers have the more experienced quarterback and more explosive playmakers. Both teams will have some success on offense, but itll be tough for the Wolf Pack to keep up over four quarters. I like my chances leaning toward Purdue to cover 10 points. While I expect Nevada to be competitive in this game, I like Purdue to pull away in the second half.